── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Roberto Bautista Agut
39%61%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#158
model rank
#122
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 7-5 6-2 5-7 6-4 |