── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Roberto Bautista Agut
59%41%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#92
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 7-5 6-2 5-7 6-4 |