── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Adrian Mannarino
54%46%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#92
model rank
#107
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GBR
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 7-6(3) 6-4 |
| 2024-09-09 | Rennes CH | Hard | QF | Jacob Fearnley | 6-3 6-3 |