── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Kei Nishikori
59%41%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#91
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
JPN
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | Davis Cup QLS R1: JPN vs GBR | Hard | RR | Jacob Fearnley | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-11-04 | Helsinki CH | Hard | QF | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 6-3 |