── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Bolt a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Alex Bolt
45%55%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#158
model rank
#145
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Left
GBR
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-2 6-4 |