── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Roberto Carballes Baena
47%53%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jacob FearnleyRoberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-14BarcelonaClayR32Jacob Fearnley6-1 7-5