── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Roberto Carballes Baena
69%31%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#91
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Jacob Fearnley | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-1 7-5 |