── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Christopher Oconnell
54%46%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#91
model rank
#104
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | Q1 | Jacob Fearnley | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | Q1 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-4 1-6 6-4 |