── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Christopher Oconnell 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Christopher Oconnell
44%56%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#142
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jacob FearnleyChristopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardQ1Jacob Fearnley7-6(4) 7-6(4)
2024-10-21BaselHardQ1Jacob Fearnley6-4 1-6 6-4