── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jacob Fearnley 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Nick Kyrgios
83%17%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Nick Kyrgios
96th · elite
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Nick Kyrgios
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#91
model rank
#187
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jacob Fearnley■ Nick Kyrgios
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Jacob Fearnley7-6(3) 6-3 7-6(2)