── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jacob Fearnley 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Nick Kyrgios
70%30%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#180
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jacob FearnleyNick Kyrgios
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Jacob Fearnley7-6(3) 6-3 7-6(2)