── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Mackenzie Mcdonald
67%33%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#91
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City CH | Hard | R32 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-4 7-5 |