── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Corentin Moutet
25%75%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 32% / 68%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GBR
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jacob FearnleyCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR16Jacob Fearnley6-3 2-6 6-2
2024-10-14StockholmHardR32Jacob Fearnley6-2 7-6(5)