── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jacob Fearnley 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Tristan Boyer
63%37%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Tristan Boyer
20th · poor
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Tristan Boyer
26th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#91
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jacob Fearnley■ Tristan Boyer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-20Bloomfield Hills CHHardR16Jacob Fearnley6-4 6-4
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardQ2Jacob Fearnley6-2 6-4