── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Tomas Machac
18%82%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#158
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
CZE
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Jacob Fearnley | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |