── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Luca Nardi
71%29%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Luca Nardi
34th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#91
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Ilkley CH | Grass | R32 | Jacob Fearnley | 4-6 6-0 6-3 |