── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Shintaro Mochizuki
57%43%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#158
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-3 6-1 |