── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Cazaux 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Arthur Cazaux
25%75%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 46% / 54%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#61
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
FRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jacob FearnleyArthur Cazaux
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Phoenix CHHardR32Arthur Cazaux6-2 3-6 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR64Jacob Fearnley3-6 7-5 6-2 6-3