── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Van Assche 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Luca Van Assche
37%63%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#158
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
FRA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-06 | Roanne CH | Hard | R32 | Jacob Fearnley | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |