── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Alex Michelsen
27%73%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#91
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Bloomfield Hills CH | Hard | F | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 3-6 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-2 |