── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Yannick Hanfmann
94%6%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#63
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GER
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Yannick Hanfmann
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(4) 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2019-09-09 | Seville CH | Clay | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |