── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Damir Dzumhur
97%3%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 98% / 2%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#134
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BIH
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Damir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4 |
| 2020-10-05 | Barcelona CH | Clay | F | Carlos Alcaraz | 4-6 6-2 6-1 |