── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Laslo Djere
96%4%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Laslo Djere
46th · average
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Laslo Djere
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#95
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
SRB
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Laslo Djere
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(2) 6-2 |
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-13 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 4-6 6-2 |