── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Jaume Munar
89%11%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
97th · elite
Jaume Munar
54th · average
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
100th · elite
Jaume Munar
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Jaume Munar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
Clay2–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Tokyo | Hard | SF | Carlos Alcaraz | 5-7 6-3 6-1 |
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-7(7) 7-5 |
| 2022-04-18 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-02-14 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-1 |
| 2021-04-05 | Marbella | Clay | SF | Jaume Munar | 7-6(4) 6-4 |