── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
93%7%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 98% / 2%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 4-6 6-3 |
| 2020-08-24 | Trieste CH | Clay | QF | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(2) 6-3 |