── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Otto Virtanen
95%5%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 98% / 2%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Otto Virtanen
53th · average
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Otto Virtanen
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#88
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FIN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Otto Virtanen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings