── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Fabian Marozsan
95%5%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 98% / 2%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
HUN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Fabian Marozsan | 6-3 7-6(4) |