── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Jiri Lehecka
89%11%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Jiri Lehecka
91th · elite
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Jiri Lehecka
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#22
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CZE
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Jiri Lehecka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | F | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | QF | Jiri Lehecka | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-3 |