── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Valentin Royer
95%5%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
97th · elite
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
100th · elite
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#114
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings