── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Hamad Medjedovic
92%8%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Hamad Medjedovic
73th · strong
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Hamad Medjedovic
55th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
SRB
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Hamad Medjedovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 |