── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Juncheng Shang
95%5%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
97th · elite
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
100th · elite
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
CHN
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 6-1 1-0 RET |