── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Carlos Alcaraz
Juncheng Shang
96%4%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Return
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#2
model rank
#96
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
CHN
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Carlos Alcaraz■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 6-1 1-0 RET |