── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Llamas Ruiz 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Alex Bolt
64%36%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Alex Bolt
28th · below avg
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
51th · average
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#172
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | Q1 | Alex Bolt | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |