── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Llamas Ruiz 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Roberto Carballes Baena
65%35%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36th · below avg
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#97
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Llamas RuizRoberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-22Lisbon CHClayR16Pablo Llamas Ruiz6-4 3-0 RET
2021-09-27Murcia CHClayR32Roberto Carballes Baena6-3 6-2