── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Llamas Ruiz 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Thiago Monteiro
65%35%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61th · average
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#97
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
BRA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Llamas RuizThiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-08Szczecin CHClayR32Pablo Llamas Ruiz6-4 6-3