── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Jan Choinski
46%54%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52th · average
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#120
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GBR
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Murcia CH | Clay | R16 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Murcia CH | Clay | R32 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 7-6(3) 7-6(6) |