── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Corentin Moutet
41%59%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36th · below avg
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61th · average
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#97
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Llamas RuizCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Pablo Llamas Ruiz6-4 3-6 7-6(4)