── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
47%53%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 71% / 29%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#97
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Llamas RuizCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-20UmagClayQFCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 5-2 RET
2021-09-06Seville CHClayR32Pablo Llamas Ruiz7-5 4-1 RET