── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Llamas Ruiz 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Luca Nardi
65%35%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
51th · average
Luca Nardi
34th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#119
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-05Ferrero Challenger CHHardR32Pablo Llamas Ruiz6-1 7-6(5)
2023-05-29Vicenza CHClayQFPablo Llamas Ruiz6-3 6-4
2021-09-13M25 MadridClayQFLuca Nardi6-2 5-7 7-5