── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rinky Hijikata 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rinky Hijikata
Mackenzie Mcdonald
66%34%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rinky Hijikata
19th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Rinky Hijikata
51th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#95
model rank
#159
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rinky Hijikata■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass2–1
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-01Birmingham CHGrassR16Rinky Hijikata6-3 7-6(5)
2024-10-07Hangzhou CHHardQFMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-1
2024-07-15NewportGrassR32Mackenzie Mcdonald4-6 7-6(4) 6-2
2023-06-12s HertogenboschGrassQFRinky Hijikata5-7 6-3 6-1