── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rinky Hijikata
Alexander Bublik
29%71%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rinky Hijikata
18th · poor
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Rinky Hijikata
50th · average
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#95
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
KAZ
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rinky Hijikata■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Rinky Hijikata | 6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2025-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 5-7 6-3 |