── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rinky Hijikata
Frances Tiafoe
26%74%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#112
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rinky Hijikata■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard0–2
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Rinky Hijikata | 7-5 4-6 1-0 RET |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-1 6-4 |