── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Rinky Hijikata
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
25%75%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rinky Hijikata
19th · poor
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Return
Rinky Hijikata
51th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#95
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Rinky Hijikata■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Rinky Hijikata7-6(1) 3-6 6-4 6-3