── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rinky Hijikata
Matteo Arnaldi
48%52%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rinky Hijikata
19th · poor
Matteo Arnaldi
30th · below avg
Return
Rinky Hijikata
51th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#95
model rank
#84
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rinky Hijikata■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | Q2 | Rinky Hijikata | W/O |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Rinky Hijikata | 7-6(0) 7-6(7) |
| 2024-02-12 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Rinky Hijikata | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |