── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kyrian Jacquet 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kyrian Jacquet
Holger Rune
59%41%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kyrian Jacquet
40th · average
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Kyrian Jacquet
69th · average
Holger Rune
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#127
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
DEN
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Kyrian Jacquet■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-01TokyoHardR32Kyrian Jacquet6-3 6-1