── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kyrian Jacquet
Daniel Merida Aguilar
30%70%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kyrian Jacquet
40th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Kyrian Jacquet
69th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Kyrian Jacquet■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-21EstorilClayR32Kyrian Jacquet1-6 6-1 7-5
2025-06-09Lyon CHClayR32Daniel Merida Aguilar6-4 6-4
2023-03-13M25 PalmanovaClayR16Kyrian Jacquet6-3 7-5