── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Marton Fucsovics
69%31%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
HUN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Holger RuneMarton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13StockholmHardR16Holger Rune6-4 6-4
2023-03-20Miami MastersHardR64Holger Rune6-3 7-5