── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Christopher Oconnell
84%16%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#142
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Holger Rune | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Munich | Clay | SF | Holger Rune | 6-3 6-2 |