── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Zhizhen Zhang
86%14%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
CHN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Holger Rune | 4-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-4 |