── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Quentin Halys
74%26%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Quentin Halys
75th · strong
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Quentin Halys
13th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#88
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
FRA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Holger RuneQuentin Halys
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Grass10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR32Holger Rune4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR32Holger Rune1-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(4) 6-1