── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Botic Van De Zandschulp
69%31%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
NED
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Holger Rune | 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(2) |
| 2023-04-17 | Munich | Clay | F | Holger Rune | 6-4 1-6 7-6(3) |
| 2022-04-25 | Munich | Clay | F | Holger Rune | 3-4 RET |