── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Alexandre Muller
54%46%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#127
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
FRA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Holger Rune | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-05-31 | Biella 7 CH | Clay | QF | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-4 |