── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Roman Safiullin
74%26%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Roman Safiullin
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#86
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
RUS
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Roman Safiullin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Holger Rune | 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2024-02-12 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Holger Rune | 6-4 2-6 6-1 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | Hard | SF | Holger Rune | 6-4 7-6(0) |