── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Safiullin 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Roman Safiullin
28%72%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Return
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#127
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
RUS
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Holger Rune■ Roman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard3–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Holger Rune7-5 7-6(5)
2024-02-12RotterdamHardR32Holger Rune6-4 2-6 6-1
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardSFHolger Rune6-4 7-6(0)