── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Holger Rune
Stefanos Tsitsipas
63%37%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
GRE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Holger Rune■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-11-13 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Holger Rune | 2-1 RET |
| 2022-10-17 | Stockholm | Hard | F | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Holger Rune | 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-4 |