── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Altmaier a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Holger Rune
Daniel Altmaier
46%54%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Return
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#127
model rank
#109
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
DEN
country
GER
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Holger Rune■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardR128Daniel Altmaier1-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardR16Holger Rune6-3 6-3
2021-05-31Biella 7 CHClayR32Holger Rune6-2 6-7(4) 7-6(5)